Holyhead Hotspur vs Gresford Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
53%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
9º
16º
15º
32
9º
16º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
65 | 65 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
50% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
50% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 31 |
11º
|
49% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 28 |
12º
|
63.5% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 26 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 23 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
16 | 16 |
15º
|
68% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holyhead Hotspur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 3
HOL
71%
17%
12%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 1
HOL
42%
24%
34%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2023 |
HOL
0 - 4
LLA
10%
18%
72%
|
29 | 50 | 21 | -2 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
HOL
1 - 2
POR
39%
23%
38%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
HOL
0 - 0
AAA
47%
22%
32%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Gresford Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2023 |
COL
2 - 0
GRE
83%
12%
5%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 3
HOL
71%
17%
12%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
HOL
2 - 0
GRE
78%
14%
8%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
GRE
0 - 2
PEN
6%
14%
80%
|
40 | 67 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
CON
1 - 3
GRE
25%
22%
53%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | +1 |