Holstein Kiel U19 vs Hamburger SV U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.9%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
72.7%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.1%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
6º
8º
8º
22
2º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
26 | 27 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
22 | 23 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
15 | 15 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 12 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
10 | 10 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
HAN
5 - 4
HOL
76%
14%
10%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
HOL
1 - 6
FCM
23%
20%
57%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
HOL
1 - 2
UBE
15%
18%
68%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
WOL
3 - 0
HOL
87%
9%
5%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
HOL
1 - 1
PAU
21%
19%
61%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Hamburger SV U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
HAM
2 - 2
WOL
28%
22%
50%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
BAK
1 - 4
HAM
30%
20%
50%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
HAM
2 - 4
FCM
79%
13%
9%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
HAM
2 - 4
HAN
78%
13%
9%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
HAM
3 - 0
PAU
63%
18%
19%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | +1 |