Holstein Kiel II vs Hagen Ahrensburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.8%
Win probability
3.57
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.8%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.8%
5-0
7%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.3%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.5%
3-0
11%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.3%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.3%
7.6%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.6%
3.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
2.7%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-63%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holstein Kiel II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
HOL
2 - 1
LUB
82%
11%
7%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2012 |
HOL
5 - 0
TUR
91%
6%
3%
|
42 | 17 | 25 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
DOR
1 - 3
HOL
12%
19%
70%
|
41 | 18 | 23 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
HOL
1 - 0
HEI
87%
9%
4%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
HOL
7 - 1
HAR
91%
6%
3%
|
41 | 15 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Hagen Ahrensburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
HAG
4 - 0
DOR
56%
22%
23%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
HEI
3 - 0
HAG
67%
18%
15%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
HAG
2 - 0
LUB
13%
17%
70%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | +3 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
HAR
1 - 2
HAG
42%
23%
34%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
HAG
1 - 1
ALT
46%
23%
31%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |