Holmesdale vs Croydon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
57.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holmesdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
BEA
2 - 1
HOL
67%
18%
15%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
KSP
0 - 2
HOL
14%
18%
67%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2023 |
HOL
0 - 2
PHO
10%
17%
73%
|
16 | 34 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
HOL
0 - 2
RUS
22%
21%
57%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
PHO
4 - 0
HOL
87%
9%
4%
|
15 | 32 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Croydon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
COR
6 - 0
CRO
64%
19%
17%
|
20 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
TUN
2 - 3
CRO
55%
21%
25%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
CRO
2 - 2
TUN
28%
21%
51%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
CRO
0 - 0
FAV
23%
21%
55%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
WHI
2 - 3
CRO
38%
22%
40%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |