Hollenbach vs Spielberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
32.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hollenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
AST
3 - 0
HOL
69%
19%
12%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
HOL
2 - 0
NOT
23%
24%
53%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +3 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
KSC
0 - 1
HOL
60%
22%
18%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
HOL
3 - 1
HEI
32%
24%
45%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +2 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
HOL
1 - 1
BAH
45%
24%
31%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Spielberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
SPI
2 - 2
BAH
60%
20%
20%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
OBE
1 - 5
SPI
34%
23%
44%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
SPI
2 - 2
REU
47%
23%
30%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
GRU
1 - 1
SPI
69%
17%
14%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
SPI
2 - 2
VFR
39%
24%
38%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |