Hollenbach vs Grunbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
17.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hollenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
VFR
2 - 0
HOL
52%
23%
25%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
HOL
1 - 0
BIS
51%
23%
26%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
BAH
1 - 2
HOL
65%
19%
16%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
HOL
0 - 0
VIL
52%
24%
24%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
HOL
0 - 0
NEC
30%
25%
45%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Grunbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
GRU
0 - 1
OFF
44%
24%
32%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
SIN
1 - 1
GRU
68%
18%
14%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
GRU
1 - 1
AST
19%
22%
59%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2012 |
NOT
0 - 0
GRU
77%
14%
9%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
GRU
1 - 4
FRE
28%
24%
48%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |