Holguín vs Guantánamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
48.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+41%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holguín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
HOL
1 - 1
GRA
34%
28%
38%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
CIE
0 - 2
HOL
68%
20%
12%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
HOL
0 - 2
SAN
26%
27%
48%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
HOL
0 - 1
CAM
25%
26%
48%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
HOL
2 - 0
SAN
35%
28%
37%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Guantánamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
CIE
1 - 4
GUA
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 1
GUA
36%
29%
35%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
LAS
2 - 1
GUA
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 1
GRA
49%
28%
23%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 1
GUA
31%
26%
43%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |