Holbæk B&I vs Herstedøster analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.3%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
4%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.9%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.3%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.2%
5.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
6º
2º
9
6º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 29 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 18 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 14 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 13 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
9 | 9 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holbæk B&I
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
GSL
0 - 2
HOL
20%
19%
62%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
HOL
0 - 1
GRE
58%
22%
20%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BRØ
1 - 1
HOL
48%
23%
29%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
HOL
0 - 1
KFU
68%
19%
13%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
KAR
2 - 2
HOL
48%
23%
28%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Herstedøster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
HER
2 - 2
KAR
8%
13%
80%
|
22 | 46 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
B19
6 - 0
HER
65%
18%
18%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
HER
0 - 2
GVI
25%
21%
54%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
TAR
3 - 1
HER
75%
15%
10%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
HER
2 - 5
KFU
25%
21%
54%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |