Holbæk B&I vs Fredensborg BI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.9%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
7.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+80%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holbæk B&I
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
TAA
1 - 1
HOL
16%
21%
63%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
KAS
1 - 4
HOL
19%
22%
59%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
HOL
2 - 1
KAR
78%
14%
8%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2017 |
HOL
1 - 0
ACH
8%
14%
77%
|
49 | 72 | 23 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
HOL
1 - 2
FA2
82%
12%
6%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Fredensborg BI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
FRE
1 - 2
KAS
46%
24%
30%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
FRE
4 - 1
FA2
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
B73
6 - 1
FRE
78%
15%
8%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
FRE
2 - 2
STE
30%
22%
48%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
TAA
4 - 4
FRE
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |