Holbæk vs Aarhus Fremad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
58.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holbæk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
HOL
0 - 3
BFR
14%
19%
67%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
NAS
2 - 2
HOL
40%
24%
37%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
SKI
0 - 1
HOL
54%
22%
24%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
HOL
0 - 2
OFA
35%
24%
42%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | -2 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
DAL
2 - 2
HOL
39%
24%
38%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
AAF
5 - 0
VEN
37%
23%
40%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
AAF
4 - 0
SYD
70%
18%
12%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
THI
1 - 0
AAF
33%
26%
42%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
AAF
1 - 1
SKI
68%
19%
13%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
NAS
1 - 2
AAF
21%
24%
55%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |