Hoi King vs Yuen Long analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.8%
66.4%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-31%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
2º
11º
7º
33
2º
6º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
33 | 39 |
3º
|
79.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
79.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
79.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 35 |
6º
|
90.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
93.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
85% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
91.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 11 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 8 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hoi King
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
HOI
3 - 4
HVA
37%
24%
39%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
HOI
4 - 1
WON
72%
16%
12%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
CWD
7 - 1
HOI
62%
21%
17%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
HOI
1 - 1
SCA
27%
23%
50%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
KWL
2 - 1
HOI
54%
24%
22%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Yuen Long
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
ISK
3 - 1
CAA
83%
12%
6%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
HVA
1 - 1
ISK
20%
22%
59%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
ISK
3 - 1
SHA
65%
19%
16%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
KWL
2 - 1
ISK
19%
23%
58%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CWD
2 - 2
ISK
21%
23%
57%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |