Hoi Fan vs Policia SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
19.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hoi Fan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2011 |
HFM
3 - 3
GDA
66%
17%
17%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
HFM
1 - 6
MCA
59%
20%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
HFM
3 - 3
FCP
56%
20%
24%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2011 |
HFM
3 - 3
MAC
52%
21%
27%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
WAK
7 - 0
HFM
60%
20%
20%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Policia SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2011 |
WAK
2 - 1
PSP
59%
20%
21%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
GDA
1 - 2
PSP
43%
23%
34%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2011 |
GLP
3 - 1
PSP
56%
22%
23%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
MCA
5 - 1
PSP
59%
20%
21%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2011 |
LLM
1 - 1
PSP
46%
24%
31%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |