Hoi Fan vs Monte Carlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.5%
21.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hoi Fan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2011 |
HFM
3 - 3
FCP
56%
20%
24%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2011 |
HFM
3 - 3
MAC
52%
21%
27%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
WAK
7 - 0
HFM
60%
20%
20%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
HFM
1 - 4
GLP
50%
21%
29%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
HFM
2 - 4
LLM
67%
18%
15%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Monte Carlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2011 |
GDA
0 - 12
MCA
43%
23%
34%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
MCA
5 - 1
PSP
59%
20%
21%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
MCA
3 - 1
FCP
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
MAC
0 - 2
MCA
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
WAK
4 - 2
MCA
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |