Tercera RFEF XVIII - Castilla-La Mancha. Jor. 24

AD Hogar Alcarreño vs CD Tarancon analysis

AD Hogar Alcarreño CD Tarancon
17 ELO 24
-4.7% Tilt -2.4%
14672º General ELO ranking 7111º
3116º Country ELO ranking 246º
ELO win probability
22.9%
AD Hogar Alcarreño
23%
Draw
54.1%
CD Tarancon

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.9%
Win probability
AD Hogar Alcarreño
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
54.1%
Win probability
CD Tarancon
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
AD Hogar Alcarreño
+8%
+17%
CD Tarancon

ELO progression

AD Hogar Alcarreño
CD Tarancon
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

AD Hogar Alcarreño
AD Hogar Alcarreño
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Feb. 2022
HBA
Huracan de Balazote
9 - 0
AD Hogar Alcarreño
HAL
66%
19%
15%
17 24 7 0
30 Jan. 2022
HAL
AD Hogar Alcarreño
1 - 2
AD San Clemente
CLE
44%
25%
32%
18 19 1 -1
26 Jan. 2022
GUA
CD Guadalajara
5 - 1
AD Hogar Alcarreño
HAL
81%
13%
6%
18 38 20 0
23 Jan. 2022
AZU
CD Azuqueca
1 - 0
AD Hogar Alcarreño
HAL
81%
12%
7%
18 30 12 0
19 Jan. 2022
HAL
AD Hogar Alcarreño
2 - 2
Villarrubia CF
VRU
14%
22%
64%
17 38 21 +1

Matches

CD Tarancon
CD Tarancon
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Feb. 2022
TAR
CD Tarancon
1 - 0
Atlético Albacete
CIU
33%
25%
42%
23 28 5 0
30 Jan. 2022
VIL
CP Villarrobledo
3 - 0
CD Tarancon
TAR
69%
17%
13%
24 33 9 -1
23 Jan. 2022
QRE
CD Quintanar del Rey
3 - 0
CD Tarancon
TAR
63%
21%
16%
25 36 11 -1
09 Jan. 2022
CLE
AD San Clemente
0 - 2
CD Tarancon
TAR
31%
25%
44%
24 20 4 +1
06 Jan. 2022
AZU
CD Azuqueca
1 - 1
CD Tarancon
TAR
67%
17%
16%
24 28 4 0
X