AD Hogar Alcarreño vs Fuensalida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
54.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Hogar Alcarreño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CDP
2 - 0
HAL
67%
19%
14%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
HAL
0 - 6
NOB
11%
19%
70%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
SCU
4 - 1
HAL
67%
19%
14%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
HAL
2 - 1
T66
20%
22%
58%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ADS
2 - 2
HAL
77%
14%
9%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Fuensalida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
FUE
1 - 1
VIL
27%
24%
49%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
CAB
0 - 1
FUE
61%
21%
18%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
FUE
0 - 1
AAL
34%
26%
40%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
MAD
2 - 0
FUE
67%
19%
14%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
FUE
1 - 0
TOL
46%
24%
31%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |