Hødd vs Sarpsborg 08 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
38.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hødd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
HOD
5 - 0
HAM
27%
24%
49%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2012 |
TRO
3 - 2
HOD
53%
22%
25%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
HOD
0 - 1
BRY
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
HOD
1 - 3
ULL
58%
21%
21%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -2 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
MJO
2 - 1
HOD
48%
24%
29%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sarpsborg 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
ULL
2 - 1
S08
34%
25%
41%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2012 |
S08
1 - 0
BAR
80%
13%
7%
|
62 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
ALT
1 - 3
S08
40%
25%
36%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
S08
3 - 1
MJO
64%
20%
16%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
STR
0 - 2
S08
35%
25%
41%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |