Hochdorf vs Hergiswil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
50.8%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hochdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
HOC
0 - 0
LUZ
65%
18%
17%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
TEA
1 - 0
HOC
68%
18%
15%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
HOC
1 - 2
CAS
35%
23%
42%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
KUS
2 - 1
HOC
31%
22%
47%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
HOC
2 - 0
GOL
13%
17%
70%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | +3 |
Matches
Hergiswil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
HER
0 - 4
TEA
40%
23%
38%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 1
HER
44%
22%
34%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
HER
0 - 1
KUS
68%
17%
15%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -2 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
GOL
7 - 0
HER
67%
17%
16%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
HER
0 - 2
BEL
10%
20%
70%
|
27 | 67 | 40 | 0 |