HJK Helsinki vs VPS Vaasa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
36.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
2º
11º
4º
18
3º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 44 |
1º
|
52.5% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 42 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 40 |
3º
|
32.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
26 | 37 |
4º
|
35.5% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 36 |
5º
|
40% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 31 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
18 | 29 |
7º
|
30.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 26 |
8º
|
30.5% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 23 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 21 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 20 |
11º
|
27% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 17 |
12º
|
57% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
97.5% | 43% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2.5% | 57% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2025 |
HJK
0 - 1
GNI
50%
25%
26%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
SEI
1 - 0
HJK
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
ILV
3 - 2
HJK
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
HJK
4 - 4
INT
39%
24%
37%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -2 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
HJK
0 - 3
HIF
40%
25%
35%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
VPS Vaasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
VAA
0 - 2
INT
45%
26%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2025 |
TPT
0 - 5
VAA
3%
7%
90%
|
76 | 39 | 37 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
KOO
2 - 2
VAA
24%
24%
53%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
VAA
4 - 3
OUL
59%
23%
19%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
VAA
5 - 0
KPV
76%
15%
9%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | 0 |