Finnish Veikkausliiga Normal Season Round 4

HJK Helsinki vs VPS Vaasa analysis

HJK Helsinki VPS Vaasa
76 ELO 75
-1.7% Tilt 6.5%
920º General ELO ranking 1010º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
37.7%
HJK Helsinki
25.9%
Draw
36.5%
VPS Vaasa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.7%
Win probability
HJK Helsinki
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
36.5%
Win probability
VPS Vaasa
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
HJK Helsinki
+13%
-9%
VPS Vaasa

Points and table prediction

HJK Helsinki
Their league position
VPS Vaasa
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
11º
18
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Inter Turku
33
44
52.5%
Ilves
32
42
36%
KuPS Kuopio
30
40
32.5%
HJK Helsinki
26
37
35.5%
SJK
25
36
40%
Gnistan
20
31
36.5%
VPS Vaasa
18
29
30.5%
FC Haka
10º
15
26
30.5%
FF Jaro
15
23
19%
IFK Mariehamn
16
21
10º
21%
AC Oulu
11º
12
20
11º
27%
FC KTP
12º
10
17
12º
57%
Expected probabilities
HJK Helsinki
VPS Vaasa
Play-offs for the title
97.5% 43%
Relegation play-offs
2.5% 57%

ELO progression

HJK Helsinki
VPS Vaasa
Gnistan
FF Jaro
IFK Mariehamn
Inter Turku
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

HJK Helsinki
HJK Helsinki
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Apr. 2025
HJK
HJK Helsinki
0 - 1
Gnistan
GNI
50%
25%
26%
76 71 5 0
11 Apr. 2025
SEI
SJK
1 - 0
HJK Helsinki
HJK
46%
25%
29%
76 76 0 0
05 Apr. 2025
ILV
Ilves
3 - 2
HJK Helsinki
HJK
44%
26%
30%
76 76 0 0
29 Mar. 2025
HJK
HJK Helsinki
4 - 4
Inter Turku
INT
39%
24%
37%
78 79 1 -2
22 Mar. 2025
HJK
HJK Helsinki
0 - 3
Hammarby IF
HIF
40%
25%
35%
78 81 3 0

Matches

VPS Vaasa
VPS Vaasa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Apr. 2025
VAA
VPS Vaasa
0 - 2
Inter Turku
INT
45%
26%
30%
76 76 0 0
16 Apr. 2025
TPT
TP-T
0 - 5
VPS Vaasa
VAA
3%
7%
90%
76 39 37 0
11 Apr. 2025
KOO
FC KTP
2 - 2
VPS Vaasa
VAA
24%
24%
53%
76 65 11 0
05 Apr. 2025
VAA
VPS Vaasa
4 - 3
AC Oulu
OUL
59%
23%
19%
75 67 8 +1
29 Mar. 2025
VAA
VPS Vaasa
5 - 0
KPV
KPV
76%
15%
9%
75 53 22 0