Q. Europa League Preliminary round Final
Global 2-1
HJK Helsinki vs Shirak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.2%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.4%
9.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1999 |
VAA
0 - 1
HJK
33%
27%
40%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 1999 |
HJK
4 - 1
FCJ
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 1999 |
HJK
3 - 1
KOO
80%
14%
6%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1999 |
HJK
0 - 1
INT
73%
18%
9%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 1999 |
JOK
1 - 2
HJK
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Shirak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 1999 |
SHI
1 - 0
PYE
43%
25%
32%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 1999 |
ARA
2 - 0
SHI
67%
19%
14%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 1999 |
SHI
2 - 1
PYE
45%
25%
31%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 1999 |
SHI
5 - 0
SHI
55%
22%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -3 |
| 18 Jul. 1999 |
SHI
0 - 7
ARA
45%
25%
30%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |