Europa Conference League qualifiers First Round Final

Global 5-4

HJK Helsinki vs NSÍ Runavík analysis

HJK Helsinki NSÍ Runavík
76 ELO 62
2% Tilt 6.7%
918º General ELO ranking 2839º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
62.1%
HJK Helsinki
19.8%
Draw
18.1%
NSÍ Runavík

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
HJK Helsinki
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
18.1%
Win probability
NSÍ Runavík
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO progression

HJK Helsinki
NSÍ Runavík
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

HJK Helsinki
HJK Helsinki
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Jul. 2025
NSI
NSÍ Runavík
4 - 0
HJK Helsinki
HJK
22%
21%
57%
77 61 16 0
05 Jul. 2025
VAA
VPS Vaasa
0 - 2
HJK Helsinki
HJK
42%
26%
32%
77 77 0 0
02 Jul. 2025
HJK
HJK Helsinki
2 - 3
FF Jaro
FFJ
64%
21%
15%
77 64 13 0
27 Jun. 2025
KUO
KuPS Kuopio
3 - 0
HJK Helsinki
HJK
39%
26%
35%
77 75 2 0
24 Jun. 2025
GIR
Klubi 04
0 - 4
HJK Helsinki
HJK
14%
19%
67%
77 54 23 0

Matches

NSÍ Runavík
NSÍ Runavík
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Jul. 2025
NSI
NSÍ Runavík
4 - 0
HJK Helsinki
HJK
22%
21%
57%
61 77 16 0
05 Jul. 2025
TVO
TB Tvøroyri
2 - 6
NSÍ Runavík
NSI
10%
16%
74%
60 43 17 +1
29 Jun. 2025
NSI
NSÍ Runavík
4 - 0
EB / Streymur
EBS
72%
16%
11%
60 51 9 0
22 Jun. 2025
NSI
NSÍ Runavík
1 - 1
Víkingur
VIK
39%
24%
36%
60 65 5 0
15 Jun. 2025
B36
B36 Torshavn
2 - 2
NSÍ Runavík
NSI
43%
24%
33%
60 62 2 0