Q. Europa League Third Round Final
Global 3-0
HJK Helsinki vs Maribor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
28.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
OUL
1 - 1
HJK
20%
27%
54%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 2
HJK
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
HJK
1 - 0
IFK
72%
18%
10%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
VKP
5 - 0
HJK
70%
18%
13%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
ILV
1 - 2
HJK
29%
28%
43%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Maribor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 2
OLI
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 2
HJK
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2022 |
FCK
2 - 1
MAR
44%
25%
31%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2022 |
SHF
1 - 0
MAR
54%
23%
24%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 2
GOR
60%
24%
16%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |