UCL Qualifying Second Round Final
Global 3-4
HJK Helsinki vs Malmö FF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.2%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
41.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
HJK
2 - 0
HAK
74%
17%
9%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
MFF
2 - 1
HJK
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
OUL
2 - 1
HJK
12%
22%
65%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
BUD
0 - 4
HJK
34%
25%
42%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Jul. 2021 |
HJK
3 - 1
BUD
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Malmö FF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
MJÄ
0 - 2
MFF
21%
24%
56%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
MFF
2 - 1
HJK
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
DEG
0 - 5
MFF
23%
24%
54%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 1
MFF
30%
25%
45%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
MFF
4 - 0
SIR
69%
19%
13%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |