HJK Helsinki vs Ilves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
30.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
3º
6º
6º
54
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
2º
|
54 | 15 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
56 | 12 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 7 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 4 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 3 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
45 | 2 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
VAA
1 - 1
HJK
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
HJK
2 - 2
SEI
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
VAA
1 - 3
HJK
36%
26%
38%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
HJK
2 - 1
KLA
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
HJK
1 - 0
INT
45%
26%
30%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ilves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
ILV
1 - 0
KUO
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
ILV
3 - 2
HAK
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
GNI
1 - 1
ILV
30%
26%
44%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ILV
5 - 0
EKE
73%
17%
10%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
KUO
1 - 0
ILV
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |