HJK Helsinki vs Ilves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
12º
2º
39
2º
12º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2024 |
HJK
1 - 0
GNI
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
HJK
1 - 2
VAA
48%
24%
28%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
INT
0 - 1
HJK
28%
26%
47%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
HJK
0 - 0
EKE
73%
17%
10%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
HAK
1 - 1
HJK
27%
26%
48%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ilves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2024 |
ILV
3 - 0
INT
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
ILV
5 - 0
HAK
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
EKE
0 - 2
ILV
31%
26%
43%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
ILV
3 - 2
OUL
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
IFK
0 - 1
ILV
35%
27%
39%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |