UCL Qualifying Third Round Final
Global 1-5
HJK Helsinki vs Partizan Belgrade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
34.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
HJK
3 - 0
VAA
69%
20%
11%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2010 |
PAR
3 - 0
HJK
68%
19%
14%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2010 |
HAK
0 - 3
HJK
30%
27%
44%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2010 |
HJK
2 - 0
FKE
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
HJK
1 - 2
KUO
67%
21%
12%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2010 |
PAR
3 - 0
HJK
68%
19%
14%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2010 |
PYU
0 - 1
PAR
36%
25%
39%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2010 |
PAR
3 - 1
PYU
75%
16%
10%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
PAR
6 - 0
MLA
84%
12%
4%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2010 |
BEO
0 - 3
PAR
37%
27%
37%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |