HJK Helsinki vs FC Lahti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
9.9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
12º
2º
19
6º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
KUO
3 - 1
HJK
44%
26%
31%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
HJK
1 - 1
PK3
77%
15%
8%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
HJK
5 - 1
TPS
73%
17%
10%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
HJK
4 - 1
EKE
67%
19%
15%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
FCL
3 - 0
HJK
18%
21%
61%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
FC Lahti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ILV
0 - 0
FCL
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
FCL
2 - 2
GNI
40%
24%
36%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
FCL
2 - 0
FCM
55%
21%
24%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
FCL
0 - 2
KUO
20%
22%
58%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2024 |
FCL
3 - 0
HJK
18%
21%
61%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | +2 |