UCL Qualifying First Round Final
Global 7-1
HJK Helsinki vs Budućnost analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
16.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2021 |
HIF
0 - 1
HJK
24%
26%
51%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2021 |
HJK
2 - 0
KOO
79%
15%
7%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2021 |
HJK
2 - 1
ILV
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2021 |
IFK
0 - 1
HJK
14%
22%
65%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2021 |
HAK
1 - 2
HJK
23%
25%
53%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Budućnost
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2021 |
DEC
1 - 3
BUD
40%
25%
35%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2021 |
ZET
2 - 4
BUD
29%
27%
43%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2021 |
BUD
3 - 2
JEZ
70%
20%
11%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2021 |
IKD
1 - 1
BUD
32%
28%
40%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
BUD
3 - 1
RUD
65%
21%
14%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |