Histon vs Thurrock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
11.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Histon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
HIS
0 - 2
BIS
65%
20%
15%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2007 |
HIS
2 - 1
SUT
68%
19%
13%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
HIS
1 - 0
WEL
60%
22%
18%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
SAL
0 - 3
HIS
33%
28%
39%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
HIS
2 - 1
BOG
67%
20%
14%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Thurrock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
HAV
3 - 0
THU
66%
20%
14%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2007 |
THU
2 - 2
NEW
36%
27%
37%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
THU
1 - 1
BOG
45%
25%
30%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
BRA
0 - 1
THU
64%
21%
15%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
THU
0 - 1
HAY
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |