Histon vs Colwyn Bay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
30.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Histon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
COR
0 - 2
HIS
49%
24%
28%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2012 |
WOR
1 - 1
HIS
47%
25%
29%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
HIS
2 - 2
GUI
23%
24%
53%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
GAI
3 - 2
HIS
53%
24%
24%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
HIS
4 - 3
GLO
44%
25%
32%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Colwyn Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
COL
1 - 6
NUN
33%
27%
40%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
COL
0 - 1
HAL
30%
25%
45%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2012 |
COL
3 - 2
BOS
40%
26%
35%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
STA
0 - 4
COL
64%
20%
17%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
WOR
0 - 1
COL
45%
25%
30%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |