Hinojos vs PMD Aljaraque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
22.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-70%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hinojos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
HIN
0 - 2
EST
71%
16%
13%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
MAZ
3 - 3
HIN
18%
19%
63%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
HIN
3 - 1
DCA
75%
15%
11%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
HIN
0 - 2
ALO
62%
19%
20%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
COR
3 - 3
HIN
33%
22%
45%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
PMD Aljaraque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
ALJ
1 - 1
TRI
43%
23%
34%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
EST
0 - 2
ALJ
60%
20%
21%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
THA
1 - 2
ALJ
40%
23%
37%
|
8 | 6 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
ALJ
1 - 1
MAZ
45%
23%
32%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ALJ
0 - 4
ROS
10%
15%
75%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | 0 |