Hinckley United vs Gainsborough Trinity analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hinckley United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2011 |
GUI
3 - 2
HIN
60%
23%
18%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
AFC
2 - 2
HIN
57%
23%
20%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2011 |
HIN
2 - 0
HYD
57%
22%
21%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2011 |
BOS
3 - 0
HIN
61%
22%
17%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
RED
2 - 3
HIN
26%
24%
51%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Gainsborough Trinity
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2011 |
GAI
0 - 2
BLY
29%
25%
46%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
GAI
1 - 1
SOL
37%
26%
38%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2011 |
GAI
1 - 2
NUN
22%
24%
54%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
RED
1 - 4
GAI
35%
25%
40%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2011 |
GAI
1 - 1
VAU
42%
25%
33%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |