Hinckley United vs Blyth Spartans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
22%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hinckley United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
BUR
1 - 1
HIN
41%
25%
33%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2009 |
BLY
1 - 0
HIN
36%
26%
38%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
HIN
2 - 3
VAU
59%
22%
19%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2009 |
GAI
3 - 1
HIN
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2008 |
HIN
1 - 3
TAM
38%
27%
35%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Blyth Spartans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2009 |
BLY
3 - 4
TOW
37%
26%
37%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
KIN
2 - 3
BLY
58%
23%
19%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2009 |
BLY
1 - 0
HIN
36%
26%
38%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
BLY
3 - 0
FLE
32%
25%
43%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | +3 |
| 05 Jan. 2009 |
BLY
0 - 1
BBU
5%
16%
80%
|
41 | 87 | 46 | 0 |