Himik Devnya vs Chernomorets Balchik analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
58.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Himik Devnya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
HIM
0 - 0
DVE
17%
23%
60%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
RAS
5 - 1
HIM
71%
17%
12%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
HIM
2 - 1
LOK
46%
25%
29%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
CHE
1 - 1
HIM
63%
20%
17%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
HIM
2 - 4
SHU
12%
20%
68%
|
25 | 56 | 31 | -1 |
Matches
Chernomorets Balchik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
CHE
1 - 3
DUN
36%
26%
39%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
BEN
3 - 2
CHE
31%
23%
46%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
CHE
3 - 0
VEL
75%
16%
10%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
SEP
0 - 0
CHE
30%
26%
44%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
CHE
2 - 1
CHE
74%
16%
9%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |