Hilversum vs Achilles 29 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
52.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hilversum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
HIL
1 - 4
LIE
42%
25%
33%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
EVV
0 - 0
HIL
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
HIL
1 - 1
FCO
26%
25%
49%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ACH
6 - 0
HIL
64%
21%
15%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
HIL
0 - 2
ARG
43%
26%
30%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Achilles 29
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2011 |
ACH
0 - 2
FCO
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
DET
0 - 1
ACH
36%
26%
39%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
ARG
1 - 1
ACH
29%
26%
46%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ACH
6 - 0
HIL
64%
21%
15%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
QUI
0 - 3
ACH
31%
25%
44%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |