Hilltop vs Edgware & Kingsbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
42%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hilltop
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
HFC
2 - 2
W&C
48%
21%
31%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2024 |
RIS
3 - 2
HFC
75%
15%
10%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2024 |
EGH
3 - 0
HFC
64%
18%
18%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
HFC
4 - 1
MIL
29%
21%
50%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
W&C
2 - 2
HFC
57%
20%
23%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Edgware & Kingsbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
EDT
1 - 1
MIL
52%
21%
27%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
BUR
1 - 0
EDT
64%
18%
19%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
EDT
3 - 2
BRU
50%
21%
29%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
VIR
1 - 0
EDT
61%
19%
19%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
EDT
1 - 1
EGH
41%
22%
38%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |