Hilal Maroc Bergheim vs SF Troisdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
8.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hilal Maroc Bergheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
NIE
2 - 4
HIL
35%
23%
42%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
HIL
0 - 3
AAA
26%
23%
51%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
MER
2 - 1
HIL
28%
23%
50%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
HIL
2 - 3
BFR
29%
23%
48%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
H05
1 - 1
HIL
79%
14%
8%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
SF Troisdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
TRO
0 - 5
SCB
17%
20%
63%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
ALT
4 - 0
TRO
81%
13%
6%
|
11 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2014 |
TRO
0 - 1
BSC
10%
17%
74%
|
12 | 42 | 30 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2014 |
WEG
4 - 0
TRO
89%
8%
3%
|
12 | 36 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
TRO
0 - 3
GEW
14%
19%
67%
|
13 | 31 | 18 | -1 |