Hilal Maroc Bergheim vs Alfter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
26.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hilal Maroc Bergheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
WES
0 - 0
HIL
19%
22%
59%
|
22 | 13 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
HIL
2 - 1
BFR
44%
23%
33%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2013 |
HUR
2 - 2
HIL
48%
23%
29%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
HIL
0 - 0
KOW
78%
14%
8%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
HIL
3 - 0
WEG
31%
23%
46%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Alfter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ALT
1 - 1
AAA
28%
24%
49%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
TRO
4 - 3
ALT
35%
23%
41%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
WES
3 - 3
ALT
19%
21%
60%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ALT
5 - 0
HUR
36%
24%
41%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
ALT
3 - 0
GER
67%
19%
15%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |