Hibernians vs Melita analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.5%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.9%
7.6%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hibernians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
QOR
2 - 4
HIB
25%
24%
52%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
HIB
3 - 2
MOS
78%
15%
8%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
VAL
3 - 1
HIB
37%
23%
40%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -2 |
| 12 Jul. 2012 |
HIB
4 - 4
SAR
43%
25%
32%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
SAR
5 - 2
HIB
57%
22%
21%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Melita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
MEL
3 - 3
RAB
56%
23%
21%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2012 |
BIR
4 - 0
MEL
66%
21%
12%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
MEL
1 - 0
RAB
53%
24%
23%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
NAX
2 - 2
MEL
46%
24%
30%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
MEL
5 - 0
ZEJ
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +2 |