Europa Conference League qualifiers Third Round Final

Global 5-3

Hibernian FC vs Luzern analysis

Hibernian FC Luzern
77 ELO 79
9.5% Tilt 2.4%
487º General ELO ranking 287º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
42.2%
Hibernian FC
24.3%
Draw
33.5%
Luzern

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.2%
Win probability
Hibernian FC
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
33.5%
Win probability
Luzern
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO progression

Hibernian FC
Luzern
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Hibernian FC
Hibernian FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Aug. 2023
HIB
Hibernian FC
2 - 3
St. Mirren
STM
59%
23%
18%
77 71 6 0
03 Aug. 2023
HIB
Hibernian FC
6 - 1
Inter Escaldes
INT
48%
23%
29%
76 73 3 +1
29 Jul. 2023
BPO
Blackpool
3 - 0
Hibernian FC
HIB
34%
24%
42%
76 68 8 0
27 Jul. 2023
INT
Inter Escaldes
2 - 1
Hibernian FC
HIB
36%
25%
39%
76 72 4 0
21 Jul. 2023
HIB
Hibernian FC
2 - 1
Groningen
GRO
64%
20%
17%
76 65 11 0

Matches

Luzern
Luzern
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Aug. 2023
STG
St. Gallen
2 - 1
Luzern
FCL
52%
23%
26%
80 80 0 0
03 Aug. 2023
FCL
Luzern
1 - 1
Djurgårdens IF
DJU
46%
25%
29%
80 81 1 0
30 Jul. 2023
FCL
Luzern
2 - 1
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
STA
61%
22%
17%
79 70 9 +1
27 Jul. 2023
DJU
Djurgårdens IF
1 - 2
Luzern
FCL
48%
24%
28%
79 80 1 0
22 Jul. 2023
WIN
Winterthur
0 - 0
Luzern
FCL
23%
25%
52%
79 67 12 0