HFX Wanderers vs York United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
30.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
2º
5º
4º
29
2º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 57 |
1º
|
64% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 54 |
2º
|
63% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 44 |
3º
|
47.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
32 | 42 |
4º
|
33.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
29 | 40 |
5º
|
51% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 30 |
6º
|
85% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 24 |
7º
|
80% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 18 |
8º
|
93% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0.5% | 0.5% |
|
Play-offs
|
37.5% | 13.5% |
|
Next round
|
61.5% | 85% |
|
Eliminated
|
0.5% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HFX Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2025 |
HFX
4 - 1
VAL
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2025 |
PAC
2 - 2
HFX
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
CAV
0 - 0
HFX
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2025 |
HFX
1 - 2
VAN
67%
21%
13%
|
71 | 45 | 26 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
HFX
1 - 2
FOR
44%
27%
30%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
York United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2025 |
YOR
5 - 1
PAC
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2025 |
VAL
0 - 0
YOR
28%
26%
46%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
YOR
1 - 2
FOR
48%
26%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2025 |
ATO
0 - 0
YOR
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
CAV
0 - 1
YOR
46%
26%
29%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |