Hetman Zamosc vs Jarosław analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.3%
19%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
69.7%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hetman Zamosc
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2016 |
IZO
1 - 1
HET
87%
10%
3%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
HET
0 - 4
TOM
9%
19%
72%
|
7 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
KAR
3 - 0
HET
87%
10%
3%
|
7 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
HET
0 - 1
MOT
5%
14%
81%
|
7 | 37 | 30 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
RES
2 - 0
HET
83%
13%
4%
|
8 | 33 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Jarosław
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2016 |
JAR
3 - 1
SOK
40%
24%
36%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
STA
1 - 0
JAR
83%
12%
6%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CHE
2 - 3
JAR
50%
22%
28%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
JAR
3 - 0
IZO
57%
21%
22%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
TOM
1 - 2
JAR
52%
24%
24%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |