Hessen Kassel vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
24.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hessen Kassel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1984 |
AAA
0 - 0
HES
41%
27%
31%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1984 |
HES
3 - 0
WAT
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1984 |
KSC
2 - 0
HES
59%
22%
20%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 1984 |
HES
0 - 0
SCF
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1984 |
MSV
3 - 0
HES
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1984 |
KÖL
1 - 2
SAA
71%
17%
12%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1984 |
ROT
3 - 0
KÖL
24%
25%
50%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1984 |
KÖL
2 - 0
BVL
77%
14%
9%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1984 |
SVS
4 - 1
KÖL
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1984 |
KÖL
1 - 1
SCC
79%
13%
7%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | -1 |