Hesperides vs Costa Ayala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.9%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
55.1%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hesperides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2016 |
UDB
1 - 0
HES
43%
23%
34%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2016 |
HES
2 - 3
UDL
19%
22%
59%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2016 |
UDS
2 - 0
HES
77%
14%
9%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2016 |
ACO
1 - 3
HES
19%
20%
61%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2015 |
HES
2 - 2
PAN
20%
21%
59%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Costa Ayala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2016 |
COS
1 - 4
UDL
31%
23%
46%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2016 |
ACO
1 - 4
COS
10%
16%
75%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2016 |
COS
0 - 0
EST
19%
21%
60%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2016 |
COS
1 - 4
UDG
47%
22%
32%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
HCF
1 - 1
COS
36%
23%
42%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |