Hertha BSC vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
58.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hertha BSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2009 |
ARB
1 - 1
HER
31%
27%
42%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
HER
2 - 1
EIN
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2008 |
OLP
4 - 0
HER
53%
24%
23%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
HER
4 - 0
KSC
60%
23%
17%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
S04
1 - 0
HER
52%
26%
22%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
BYM
3 - 1
BVB
71%
18%
12%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2009 |
HSV
1 - 0
BYM
26%
25%
49%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2009 |
STU
1 - 5
BYM
26%
25%
49%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
STU
2 - 2
BYM
24%
25%
51%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2008 |
LYO
2 - 3
BYM
43%
22%
35%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |