Hertha BSC II vs Lichtenberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.6%
6.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hertha BSC II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
TUR
2 - 5
HER
25%
23%
53%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
HER
0 - 2
SVY
73%
17%
11%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
HER
3 - 0
BSC
72%
17%
11%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
BAK
3 - 1
HER
11%
17%
72%
|
58 | 29 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
STA
0 - 2
HER
22%
22%
56%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Lichtenberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
LIC
1 - 0
BSC
50%
24%
26%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
LIC
0 - 0
STA
43%
24%
33%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
HAN
2 - 1
LIC
82%
12%
6%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
MSV
3 - 1
LIC
48%
24%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
LIC
1 - 0
OPT
47%
24%
29%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |