Herrestads AIF vs Vänersborgs FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.8%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
17.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
3º
11º
4º
19
9º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
36 | 55 |
1º
|
80.5% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 46 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 46 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
|
5º
|
28 | 45 |
4º
|
21.5% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 45 |
5º
|
16% | |
|
6º
|
25 | 39 |
6º
|
43% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 35 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
10º
|
19 | 33 |
8º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 31 |
9º
|
22.5% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 30 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 30 |
11º
|
22% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 24 |
12º
|
37% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 23 |
13º
|
45.5% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 18 |
14º
|
69% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
1% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
13.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
85.5% | 86.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 9.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 4% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herrestads AIF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2025 |
HER
0 - 0
LID
46%
25%
29%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
MOT
2 - 2
HER
59%
20%
20%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
KUM
0 - 3
HER
42%
24%
34%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
HER
0 - 4
KON
32%
24%
44%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -2 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
AIF
2 - 0
HER
42%
25%
33%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Vänersborgs FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2025 |
VFK
1 - 0
IKT
33%
22%
44%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2025 |
VFK
2 - 3
SFC
90%
7%
3%
|
31 | 7 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
LID
0 - 0
VFK
60%
21%
19%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
VFK
1 - 1
GRE
26%
21%
53%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
FBK
2 - 0
VFK
78%
14%
8%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | -1 |