Herrera II vs Atl. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.4%
20%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
68.8%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-64%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herrera II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
HFC
0 - 1
SAP
45%
26%
29%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
UFC
3 - 1
HFC
66%
19%
15%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
HFC
1 - 1
IDC
18%
23%
59%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
CDU
0 - 2
HFC
49%
23%
28%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
HFC
1 - 1
AFM
21%
25%
54%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Atl. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
NAC
2 - 1
VCD
55%
23%
22%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 2
CDB
64%
21%
15%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
CDU
3 - 1
NAC
12%
20%
68%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
NAC
0 - 0
IDC
62%
21%
16%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2024 |
UFC
1 - 2
NAC
30%
24%
46%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |