Herrera vs Montecarlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
25.1%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
QUI
1 - 1
HER
63%
20%
17%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
HER
3 - 3
CAS
25%
23%
52%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
AND
3 - 0
HER
67%
19%
15%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
HER
2 - 2
CDC
37%
24%
39%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
ACF
2 - 2
HER
74%
16%
10%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Montecarlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
CAS
1 - 0
UDM
60%
23%
18%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
UDM
0 - 4
CDC
38%
24%
37%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
MOR
0 - 1
UDM
19%
23%
57%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
UDM
2 - 1
CEL
54%
24%
23%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
BUJ
1 - 1
UDM
25%
23%
52%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | 0 |