Herrera vs Alcorisa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
64.4%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+80%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
SAG
2 - 1
HER
63%
19%
18%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
QUI
1 - 0
HER
71%
19%
10%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
HER
1 - 1
GIN
52%
21%
27%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
BEL
4 - 0
HER
78%
15%
7%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
HER
1 - 2
AND
28%
22%
50%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Alcorisa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
ATL
1 - 0
ALC
30%
23%
47%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
SAG
0 - 2
ALC
34%
22%
44%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
ALC
2 - 3
QUI
35%
26%
40%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2022 |
GIN
2 - 1
ALC
9%
15%
76%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
ALC
2 - 2
BEL
28%
26%
46%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | 0 |