Hernán Cortés vs Trujillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
54.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hernán Cortés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
MIA
2 - 2
HER
77%
15%
8%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
HER
3 - 1
CIU
66%
20%
14%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
ADV
1 - 1
HER
45%
25%
31%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
HER
2 - 1
TAL
20%
22%
58%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
MON
1 - 0
HER
77%
16%
7%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Trujillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
TRU
1 - 0
OLY
72%
17%
11%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
LAS
0 - 1
TRU
10%
17%
74%
|
14 | 5 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
TRU
5 - 1
MOR
76%
16%
9%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
MAL
0 - 2
TRU
16%
20%
64%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
TRU
1 - 1
AMA
40%
24%
36%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |